The Portflossio Oracle·Reading for Monday 19 October·cast Friday at 16:34, after the close
The ball has spoken. The light is scattered across the market, and so is the shadow.
Each evening the Oracle reads the day's closes, volumes and ranges for all 81 Casablanca stocks and names three stars and three shadows for the next session. Then it keeps score, in public, forever.
Clarity: clear
Based on 32 recorded sessionsNo streak running
This is arithmetic wearing a cape. The Oracle is entertainment built on public closing prices. It is not investment advice and not a recommendation to buy or sell anything. It does not know the future, and it is wrong often enough to keep a scorecard. Readings are automated and never edited. Never buy or sell because of a reading.
3 stocks were not eligible for this reading: fewer than 20 recorded sessions, or traded on fewer than 5 of the last 10. The Oracle only reads what it can see.
The ledger of readings
Every reading is recorded before the session opens and judged against what the market did. Nothing is edited after the fact.
Stars that beat the market
30 star picks judged over 10 sessions · 14 hits · 16 misses
Coin flip 50%“Yesterday's winners” 33%Shadows that trailed 27%All picks 37%
“Yesterday's winners” names the previous session's three best and three worst performers, judged over the same sessions.
Humility corner
The Oracle's worst call of the last 30 sessions:
REBnamed a star on 15 Oct, then moved -5.9% against a market of +0.0%.
The last reading missed. The Oracle takes notes.
Past readings
Reading forThe ball saidStars · actual vs marketShadows
Wed 28 Oct
session not closed
“The light is scattered across the market, and so is the shadow.”·pending★ HPS·pending★ BOA·pending★ ADH·pending☁ MLE·pending☁ AKT·pending☁ CRS
Tue 27 Oct
market +0.0%
“A restless sky: no single corner of the market holds the light.”✓hit★ CAP+0.5%✗miss★ RDS-1.8%✗miss★ DHO+0.0%✗miss☁ MLE+0.0%✓hit☁ S2M-1.6%✓hit☁ ARD-2.1%
Mon 26 Oct
market -0.3%
“A restless sky: no single corner of the market holds the light.”✗miss★ ADH-0.3%✗miss★ RDS-2.3%✗miss★ ADI-0.8%✓hit☁ MLE-1.9%✓hit☁ ZDJ-1.0%✗miss☁ SLF+0.0%
Fri 23 Oct
market +0.0%
“The light is scattered across the market, and so is the shadow.”✗miss★ T2S-1.1%✓hit★ ADH+1.6%✓hit★ RDS+1.3%✗miss☁ MOX+0.0%✗miss☁ MLE+0.0%✗miss☁ MDP+3.7%
Thu 22 Oct
market +0.0%
“The light is scattered across the market, and so is the shadow.”✓hit★ RDS+2.8%✓hit★ HPS+0.9%✓hit★ ADH+2.2%✓hit☁ MLE+0.0%✗miss☁ SNA+2.0%✓hit☁ OUL+0.0%
Wed 21 Oct
market +0.0%
“A restless sky: no single corner of the market holds the light.”✓hit★ ADI+2.8%✓hit★ ADH+2.4%✗miss★ DHO-2.2%✗miss☁ JET+2.1%✓hit☁ MAB-0.1%✗miss☁ AFM+0.0%
Tue 20 Oct
market +0.0%
“A restless sky: no single corner of the market holds the light.”✓hit★ ADH+0.2%✗miss★ ADI-1.1%✗miss★ CAP-3.7%✗miss☁ PRO+0.0%✗miss☁ NEJ+0.0%✗miss☁ EQD+0.0%
Mon 19 Oct
market +0.0%
“The light is scattered across the market, and so is the shadow.”✓hit★ MUT+0.4%✓hit★ WAA+4.8%✗miss★ CFG-1.8%✗miss☁ PRO+0.0%✗miss☁ NEJ+0.0%✗miss☁ EQD+0.0%
Fri 16 Oct
market +0.0%
“A restless sky: no single corner of the market holds the light.”✗miss★ MUT-1.1%✓hit★ FBR+0.9%✗miss★ DWY-0.3%✗miss☁ PRO+0.0%✗miss☁ NEJ+0.0%✗miss☁ EQD+0.0%
Thu 15 Oct
market +0.0%
“A restless sky: no single corner of the market holds the light.”✗miss★ CRS+0.0%✗miss★ REB-5.9%✗miss★ FBR-0.9%✗miss☁ PRO+0.0%✗miss☁ NEJ+0.0%✗miss☁ EQD+0.0%
Wed 14 Oct
market +0.0%
“The light is scattered across the market, and so is the shadow.”✓hit★ DHO+0.7%✓hit★ TQM+1.5%✗miss★ TGC-1.4%✓hit☁ JET-2.3%✗miss☁ PRO+0.0%✗miss☁ NEJ+0.0%
How the magic works
(it is just arithmetic)
Four measurements on the recorded closes, each turned into a z-score across all eligible stocks and clipped at ±2.5 so one wild print cannot steer the ball. The sum is the Oracle score. Top three are stars, bottom three are shadows.
☄
Momentum
Distance from the 7-session average and the 7-session change, half each. Rising things tend to keep rising, briefly.
⟳
Mean reversion
Position in the 30-session range. Yesterday's spike is penalised, a lift from the floor is rewarded. This pulls against momentum on purpose.
≈
Volume surge
Today's volume against its 20-session average, signed by the day's move. Unusual volume with a green close is the loudest signal in a thin market.
⚄
Consistency
Share of up sessions in the last 10, so a single lucky day does not carry a stock into the ball.
Judged against the market, not against zero: a star is a hit when it beats the median move of all stocks next session.
Eligibility: 20 recorded sessions and trades on 5 of the last 10.
Cast at 16:30 Casablanca time, after the daily closing snapshot, weekdays only.
No backtests on the scorecard: only readings made live, before the session.
Keep your own stars in a ledger that never lies.
The Oracle is for fun. Your portfolio is not. Portflossio records every trade and explains every number.